Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 33 analysis: captain picks ranked by expected points, the most-transferred players, low-ownership differentials, and fixture difficulty for every team.
Expected points (xPts) from FPL's model, weighted by fixture difficulty. Captain the player with the best combination of form, fixture, and ownership risk.
1
Guéhi
MCI · DEF · £5.1m · 34.5% owned
30.5 xPts
@BUR
2
Cherki
MCI · MID · £6.3m · 9.3% owned
20.5 xPts
@BUR
3
Wieffer
BHA · MID · £4.9m · 0.7% owned
18.5 xPts
CHE
4
Okafor
LEE · MID · £5.5m · 0.9% owned
16.5 xPts
@BOU
5
Doku
MCI · MID · £6.4m · 2.6% owned
16.5 xPts
@BUR
6
Bijol
LEE · DEF · £3.9m · 1.1% owned
15.5 xPts
@BOU
Most Transferred Inthis GW
Players the FPL community is buying — a signal of consensus value, though high volume also means the price may have already moved.
1
Haaland
MCI · FWD · £14.5m · 59.9% owned
+209K
@BUR
2
Cherki
MCI · MID · £6.3m · 9.3% owned
+202K
@BUR
3
Calvert-Lewin
LEE · FWD · £5.6m · 11.6% owned
+172K
@BOU
4
Senesi
BOU · DEF · £5.2m · 23.2% owned
+168K
LEE
5
Guéhi
MCI · DEF · £5.1m · 34.5% owned
+156K
@BUR
6
Scott
BOU · MID · £5.0m · 2.9% owned
+140K
LEE
Differentials<10% owned · in form
Low-ownership picks with strong recent form. A haul from any of these moves you past the pack — the rank gain is double that of a template player.
1
N.Williams
NFO · DEF · £4.7m · 3.8% owned
13.0 form
BUR
2
Mateta
CRY · FWD · £7.5m · 6.9% owned
12.0 form
WHU
3
Mavropanos
WHU · DEF · £4.4m · 0.5% owned
12.0 form
@CRY
4
Beto
EVE · FWD · £5.0m · 2.9% owned
11.5 form
LIV
5
Cherki
MCI · MID · £6.3m · 9.3% owned
10.0 form
@BUR
6
Wieffer
BHA · MID · £4.9m · 0.7% owned
9.5 form
CHE
GW33 Fixture Difficulty
FDR 1–2 = green (easy), 3 = amber (neutral), 4–5 = red (hard). Target players from FDR 1–2 teams for premium captaincy and cheap differential value.
NFOvs Burnley
FDR 1
AVLvs Sunderland
FDR 2
BOUvs Leeds
FDR 2
CRYvs West Ham
FDR 2
MCI@ Burnley
FDR 2
BREvs Fulham
FDR 3
BHAvs Chelsea
FDR 3
EVEvs Liverpool
FDR 3
FUL@ Brentford
FDR 3
LEE@ Bournemouth
FDR 3
LIV@ Everton
FDR 3
MUN@ Chelsea
FDR 3
NEWvs Bournemouth
FDR 3
TOTvs Brighton
FDR 3
WHU@ Crystal Palace
FDR 3
WOL@ Leeds
FDR 3
BURvs Man City
FDR 4
CHE@ Brighton
FDR 4
SUN@ Aston Villa
FDR 4
ARS@ Man City
FDR 5
Price Risers This GW
Players who have already risen in price this gameweek. Buy before the next price update if you want them at current value.
Senesi
BOU · £5.2m
+£0.1m
Van Hecke
BHA · £4.6m
+£0.1m
Welbeck
BHA · £6.3m
+£0.1m
Haaland
MCI · £14.5m
+£0.1m
Mainoo
MUN · £4.7m
+£0.1m
Anderson
NFO · £5.6m
+£0.1m
Injury & Doubt Alerts>5% owned
EkitikéInjured
Achilles injury - Expected back 01 Jul
25.9% owned
J.TimberDoubt — 75% chance
Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing
22.7% owned
O'ReillyDoubt — 75% chance
Muscle injury - 75% chance of playing
13.1% owned
ChalobahDoubt — 75% chance
Lack of match fitness - 75% chance of playing
10.5% owned
KudusInjured
Thigh injury - Unknown return date
9.3% owned
SakaDoubt — 75% chance
Achilles injury - 75% chance of playing
7.4% owned
Budget Picks≤ £6.0m · best value/form
High-value budget options with good form and fixtures — ideal for freeing up funds for premium picks elsewhere.
Guéhi
DEF · £5.1m
@BUR
Form 15.034.5% owned5.2 PPG
N.Williams
DEF · £4.7m
BUR
Form 13.03.8% owned3.7 PPG
Mavropanos
DEF · £4.4m
@CRY
Form 12.00.5% owned3.9 PPG
Beto
FWD · £5.0m
LIV
Form 11.52.9% owned2.6 PPG
Wieffer
MID · £4.9m
CHE
Form 9.50.7% owned4.0 PPG
SEE HOW THESE PICKS FIT YOUR SQUAD
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Top captain options for GW33 based on expected points and fixtures: Guéhi (30.5 xPts, 34.5% owned); Cherki (20.5 xPts, 9.3% owned); Wieffer (18.5 xPts, 0.7% owned).
What are the best FPL transfers for GW33?+
The most transferred-in players heading into GW33 are: Haaland (209K transfers in), Cherki (202K transfers in), Calvert-Lewin (172K transfers in).
What are the best FPL differentials for GW33?+
Top differentials (under 10% ownership) for GW33: N.Williams (3.8% owned, form 13.0); Mateta (6.9% owned, form 12.0); Mavropanos (0.5% owned, form 12.0).
When is the FPL GW33 deadline?+
The FPL Gameweek 33 deadline is Saturday 18 April at 10:00 (UK time). All transfers and captain picks must be made before this time.